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Renewables competitiveness accelerates despite cost inflation
6/9/2023
News
The global power sector saved fuel costs of $520bn last year thanks to renewable power, according a new report from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA).
The fossil fuel price crisis has accelerated the competitiveness of renewable power, with around 86% (187 GW) of all the newly commissioned renewable capacity in 2022 being lower in cost than fossil fuel-fired electricity, says the report.
The analysis shows that the renewable power added in 2022 reduced the fuel bill of the electricity sector worldwide. New capacity added since 2000 reduced the electricity sector fuel bill in 2022 by at least $520bn. In non-OECD countries, just the saving over the lifetime of new capacity additions in 2022 will reduce costs by up to $580bn, IRENA says.
In addition to these direct cost savings, there would be substantial economic benefits from reducing CO2 emissions and local air pollutants. Without the deployment of renewables over the last two decades, the economic disruption from the fossil fuel price shock in 2022 would have been much worse and possibly beyond many governments ability to soften with public funding, the report notes.
Francesco La Camera, Director-General, IRENA ,comments: ‘IRENA sees 2022 as a veritable turning point in the deployment for renewables as its cost-competitiveness has never been greater despite the lingering commodity and equipment cost inflation around the world. The regions most affected by the historic price shock were remarkably resilient, in large part thanks to the massive increase of solar and wind in the last decade.’
He continues: ‘Today, the business case for renewables is compelling, but the world must add 1,000 GW of renewable power annually on average every year until 2030 to keep 1.5°C within reach, more than three times 2022 levels. There is no time for a new energy system to evolve gradually as was the case for fossil fuels.’
Commodity and equipment cost inflation in 2022 resulted in countries experiencing markedly different trends in costs in 2022, the report finds. However, at a global level, the weighted-average cost of electricity fell for utility-scale solar photovoltaics (PV) by 3%, for onshore wind by 5%, for concentrating solar power by 2%, for bioenergy by 13% and for geothermal by 22%.
Only the costs for offshore wind and hydropower increased by 2% and 18% respectively, due to the reduced share of China in offshore wind deployment in 2022 and cost overruns in a number of large hydropower projects.
For the last 13–15 years, renewable power generation costs from solar and wind power have been falling, according to the report. Between 2010 and 2022, solar and wind power became cost-competitive with fossil fuels even without financial support. The global weighted average cost of electricity from solar PV fell by 89% to $0.049/kWh, almost one third less than the cheapest fossil fuel globally. For onshore wind the fall was 69% to $0.033/kWh in 2022, slightly less than half that of the cheapest fossil fuel-fired option in 2022.
IRENA’s report concludes that expected high fossil fuel prices will cement the structural shift that has seen renewable power generation become the least-cost source of new generation, even undercutting existing fossil fuel generators. Renewables can protect consumers from fossil fuel price shocks, avoid physical supply shortages and enhance energy security.
