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ISSN 2753-7757 (Online)

Tracking the transition in the run-up to COP30

12/11/2025

8 min read

Feature

Silhouette of a group of people standing in front of dimly lit COP30 stage Photo: ©UN Climate Change/Kiara Worth
Around the venue at COP30 in the Brazilian Amazon

Photo: ©UN Climate Change/Kiara Worth

As energy leaders gather in Belém, Brazil, for COP30, the Energy Institute has published its annual Country Transition Tracker (CTT), which offers a timely and data-rich lens through which users can assess energy- specific transition progress. Its author, Energy Institute Senior Energy Project Lead Gemma Fox, reports on the results and her assessment.

This year’s COP, hosted in the heart of the Amazon, marks a decade since the Paris Agreement was signed. It is being framed by Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as an ‘implementation COP’, with a focus on turning pledges into tangible progress. The Paris Agreement target deadlines loom ever closer, but the next UN Global Stocktake (GST) is not due until 2028. Until then, the CTT, which is published annually, provides a unique bridge between stocktakes to highlight timely insights into progress across three key energy fronts: greenhouse gas emission reductions, energy efficiency and universal access to energy.

 

The CTT draws on data from the Energy Institute’s Statistical Review of World Energy, to evaluate around 80 countries responsible for more than 96% of global energy consumption and 95% of energy-related emissions. It offers an independent, data-driven view of how different economies are advancing or lagging across eight indicators of energy transition progress and enables users to draw their own conclusions on these countries’ energy transition progress.

 

Disorderly progress
The first global stocktake, finalised at COP28 in 2023, acknowledged that while progress had been made, efforts remained insufficient to meet long-term climate goals. With only five more stocktakes scheduled before 2050 – the critical deadline for limiting global warming to 1.5°C – the need for more frequent and granular assessments is clear. The CTT offers a yearly snapshot of progress made since 2017 – the first full year after formal ratification of the Paris Agreement.

 

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