New Energy World magazine logo
New Energy World magazine logo
ISSN 2753-7757 (Online)

Will biofuels production change gear soon?

28/1/2026

8 min read

Feature

Aerial view over refinery, showing storage tanks, industrial plant and chimneys Photo: TotalEnergies
TotalEnergies’ Grandpuits refinery, in Seine-et-Marne, France, which is being converted to a bio-refinery

Photo: TotalEnergies

In February 2025 Shell launched a commercial-scale synthetic fuels plant in Hamburg, Germany. This was a first for the energy giant, producing synthetic diesel and jet fuel from green hydrogen. Furthermore, major European aviation and transportation companies are collaborating in a project to produce over 100,000 t/y of e-fuels in the next year or so. Promising though these projects are, they are just a drop in the vast bucket of fossil fuels used in sea, air and land transport. Current synthetic fuel production is underwhelming, with volumes running at less than 1% of global fossil fuel production. Selwyn Parker reports.

Independent research confirms that only small volumes of synthetic or e-fuels are being produced currently.

 

It’s difficult to ignore the declared hostility of the Trump administration to green fuels as a factor, but there is also the issue of cost in a challenging economic climate. For example, in late 2025 ExxonMobil abruptly slashed its budget for lower-emission technologies, including carbon capture, by $10bn to concentrate on its core oil and gas business. And under recently departed Chief Executive Murray Auchinloss, in 2025 BP knocked £5bn off its budget for green investments, arguing that ‘our optimism for a fast [energy] transition was misplaced, and we went too far, too fast’.

 

The oil and gas industry has floated synfuel projects that are supposed to produce at least 80mn t/y by 2030. However, impartial sources point out that, as of 2025, less than 20% of these projects are actually being built while the other 80% haven’t even been signed off.

 

This content is for EI members only.
or join us as a member to read all our Feature articles and receive exclusive member benefits.